FXUS64 KHUN 010515 AAD

AFDHUN



AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL

1215 AM CDT SUN AUG 1 2010



.UPDATE...FOR 06Z TAFS.

&&



.AVIATION...

PATCHY MVFR VSBYS DUE TO BR WL DVLP AT KMSL...AND PSBLY AT KHSV BY 

10Z.  OTRW...PATCHES OF MID AND HIGH CLOUDS FROM EARLIER TS CAN BE 

XPCTD.  ISOLD TS CANNOT BE RULED OUT OVERNIGHT...BUT PROB IS TOO LOW 

TO INCLUDE ATTM.  SCT CU WL DVLP ON SUNDAY...WITH ISOLD TS PSBL DURG 

THE AFTN HRS.  AGN...THE PROB IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN TAF ATTM.

&&





.MESOSCALE UPDATE.../ISSUED AT 1002 PM CDT SAT JUL 31 2010/

00Z UA SHOW 8H TROF AXIS WAS NEAR THE OH RIVER INTO NRN AR...WITH A 

WEAK 5H SHORTWAVE FROM LAKE ERIE TO NEAR PADUCAH. ONE ISOLD TS CELL 

WSW OF NASHVILLE AHEAD OF THIS TROF AXIS IS ALL THAT IS LEFT AS 

THE EARLIER CELL SW OF KBNA HAS DIED. ADDITIONAL RAIN CHC CONTINUE 

TO DECLINE WITH LOSS OF HEATING...SO HAVE LOWERED TO ISOLD TSRA 

BEFORE 06Z...AND REMOVED SHRA AFT 06Z. OTRW...HAVE TWEAKED TEMPS/DEW 

POINTS UPWARD BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS.

&&



.PREV DISCUSSION.../ISSUED AT 748 PM CDT SAT JUL 31 2010/

CONVECTIVE CELLS HAVE DIMINISHED IN INTENSITY...BUT CONTINUE TO 

REDEVELOP ALONG A BOUNDARY COLLISION FROM WRN MADISON COUNTY INTO 

THE NERN CORNER OF CULLMAN COUNTY WHERE SOME LOCAL BACK-BUILDING WAS 

PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL.  THE COMBO OF CAPE/DEEP SHEAR WAS A BIT 

BETTER OVER TN/KY ALONG THE 8H TROF AXIS.  THESE STORMS ON THEIR 

CURRENT PACE COULD ENTER OUR FCST AREA BEFORE 05Z...BUT LIKELY AFTER 

02Z WHEN THE SVR WATCH #553 WAS IN EFFECT.  AFT COORD WITH 

SPC...HAVE CANCELLED THE WATCH...BUT WL MONITOR CONVECTIVE TRENDS IN 

TN.  SR-INFLOW MAY AID THESE STORMS A FEW MORE HRS...SPCLLY AFTER 

INTERACTING WITH THE VARIOUS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES IN THE AREA.

&&





.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

AL...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: 

     COLBERT...CULLMAN...FRANKLIN AL...LAUDERDALE...LAWRENCE...

     LIMESTONE...MADISON...MARSHALL...MORGAN.



TN...NONE.

&&



$$



KULA