FXUS64 KFWD 111149

AFDFWD



AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX

549 AM CST THU MAR 11 2010



.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

CLEAR SKIES AT THE BEGINNING OF THE FORECAST PERIOD /12Z/ WILL

GIVE WAY TO INCREASING MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY OVER NEW MEXICO...WILL MOVE

EAST ACROSS NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. WE WILL SEE A

CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON

WEST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR...AND AREA WIDE...INCLUDING THE

METROPLEX AND WACO TAF SITES...THIS EVENING. CEILINGS MAY LOWER

INTO THE 4000-5000 FEET RANGE BY OOZ. SOME SHOWERS MAY OCCUR

THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY.



EXPECT GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS FRIDAY. THESE WINDS WILL LIKELY

RESULT IN SOME CROSS WIND ISSUES AT DFW.  



58



&&





.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 326 AM CST THU MAR 11 2010/

OUR NEXT STORM SYSTEM IS EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR DROPPING INTO

CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. EXPECT AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER AS WE GO

THROUGH THE DAY. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS

WILL INCREASE OVER FAR WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CWA THIS

AFTERNOON...SPREADING AREA WIDE THIS EVENING. ORGANIZED SEVERE

WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED. RAIN CHANCES WILL PUSH INTO EAST TEXAS

AFTER 06Z.



THE WEEKEND LOOKS DRY AND MILD. THE WARMEST DAY WILL BE

SUNDAY...WITH HIGHS REACHING THE LOW TO MID 70S ALONG AND SOUTH OF

I-20. 



MODELS ARE STILL INDICATING THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE FOR

MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. YESTERDAYS MODEL RUNS DEPICTED A CLOSED LOW

ROLLING RIGHT OVER OUR AREA. TODAYS RUNS BRING AN OPEN WAVE

ACROSS...WITH A MORE SOUTHERN TREK THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST.

DESPITE SOME MINOR DIFFERENCES THAT STILL REMAIN AMONG THE

CANADIAN/EURO/AND GFS...THE MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT

WITH TIMING AND LOCATION FOR PRECIP. 



WE EXPECT SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY...WITH THE

MOST FAVORABLE AREAS BEING WEST OF I-35. BEST RAIN CHANCES LOOK TO

BE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 ON TUESDAY...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY

A 20 POPS ELSEWHERE. TEMPS WILL COOL DOWN FOR EARLY NEXT

WEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S.



SCHULTZ



&&







.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  67  42  64  43  65 /  10  30  10  10   5 

WACO, TX              70  42  67  40  71 /  10  30  10   5   5 

PARIS, TX             64  41  57  38  57 /  10  30  10  10   5 

DENTON, TX            64  39  62  38  64 /  10  30  10  10   5 

MCKINNEY, TX          65  40  59  39  61 /  10  30  10  10   5 

DALLAS, TX            67  43  64  43  65 /  10  30  10  10   5 

TERRELL, TX           68  42  62  40  64 /  10  30  10   5   5 

CORSICANA, TX         69  44  64  42  67 /  10  30  10   5   5 

TEMPLE, TX            70  41  68  40  73 /  10  20  10   5   5 



&&



.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

NONE.



&&



$$



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