FXUS64 KEWX 010829

AFDEWX



AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX

329 AM CDT SUN AUG 1 2010



.DISCUSSION...

AS THE STRONG UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO PERCOLATE MOISTURE OUT OF

THE GROUND TODAY..THE GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE..WITH 

HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON AROUND THE CENTURY MARK THROUGHOUT MUCH OF 

SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FOR THE FIRST TIME THIS YEAR. LIGHTER WINDS 

TONIGHT WILL ALLOW READINGS TO RADIATE A FEW DEGREES LOWER SO THE 

LOWER MEX GUIDANCE LOOKS REASONABLE. LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL VEER 

SLIGHTLY ON MONDAY..ALLOWING BETTER GULF TRAJECTORIES WITH THE GFS 

LAYERED 1000-700 MILLIBAR MOISTURE INCREASING. THIS WILL BE BALANCED BY 

MORE INTENSE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING..THUS THE NET EFFECT WILL BE TO 

LEVEL OFF HIGHS NEAR THE CENTURY MARK MONDAY. SIMILAR PATTERN TUESDAY

THROUGH FRIDAY AS THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE MIGRATES WESTWARD INTO

NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS. THE COMBINATION OF STRONG SUBSIDENT HEATING 

ALOFT AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL GULF MOISTURE WILL PRODUCE HEAT 

INDICIES IN THE 105-110 DEGREE RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOONS (TUESDAY 

THROUGH FRIDAY)..GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR. 

HIGHS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE UPPER 90S WITH MID 90S OVER PORTIONS 

OF THE HILL COUNTRY AND SOUTHEAST SECTIONS. BY THURSDAY..A FEW SEA 

BREEZE SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FAR EASTERN SECTIONS. THESE SHOWERS 

AND ISOLATED STORMS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEKEND OVER 

EASTERN SECTIONS EACH AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER RIDGE BECOMES A LITTLE 

LESS INTENSE OVER THE WESTERN GULF. 



&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

AUSTIN CAMP MABRY             100  74 101  77 100 /  -    0  -   -   -  

AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT 100  69 100  74  99 /  -    0  -   -   -  

NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT    100  69 100  75  98 /  -   -   -   -   -  

BURNET MUNI AIRPORT           100  72 100  75  97 /  -   -   -   -   -  

DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT          101  72 100  76  99 /  -    0   0  -   -  

GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT       101  73 101  76  99 /  -   -   -   -   -  

HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             99  68  99  73  96 /  -    0  -   -   -  

SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT       100  70 100  75  99 /  -   -   -   -   -  

LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   98  70  98  77  96 /   0  -   -   -   10 

SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       99  72  98  77  98 /  -   -   -   -   -  

STINSON MUNI AIRPORT          100  70  99  76  98 /  -   -   -   -   -  



&&



.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. 

&&



$$



02/22